Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.368184 0.436215 0.512106 0.602867 0.708281 0.826673 0.969528
2025-01-26 0.276351 0.367034 0.478977 0.626568 0.815198 1.047280 1.353429
2025-02-02 0.242908 0.350209 0.492575 0.693596 0.968128 1.327637 1.831333
2025-02-09 0.207470 0.320684 0.480306 0.718956 1.063213 1.537605 2.235510
2025-02-16 0.172124 0.283422 0.449197 0.710062 1.105091 1.674411 2.548454
2025-02-23 0.141267 0.246775 0.412145 0.684946 1.116802 1.765043 2.799245
2025-03-02 0.115684 0.213748 0.375032 0.653122 1.111913 1.826965 3.008747
2025-03-09 0.104934 0.203587 0.372744 0.675717 1.193508 2.026683 3.445367
2025-03-16 0.088479 0.180530 0.345265 0.651992 1.195289 2.098088 3.682004
2025-03-23 0.080341 0.171416 0.340684 0.666772 1.262682 2.280955 4.114257
2025-03-30 0.072951 0.162511 0.335119 0.678650 1.325352 2.460011 4.553247
2025-04-06 0.064428 0.149920 0.320818 0.672215 1.353569 2.580744 4.899762
2025-04-13 0.057009 0.138800 0.308591 0.669609 1.391093 2.725645 5.309822
2025-04-20 0.053169 0.134933 0.310619 0.695710 1.486597 2.985004 5.950536
2025-04-27 0.053777 0.141270 0.334715 0.769510 1.682731 3.447182 7.002027
2025-05-04 0.050435 0.137717 0.336948 0.797418 1.788872 3.746355 7.768121
2025-05-11 0.044713 0.127343 0.322587 0.787632 1.815981 3.893813 8.252931
2025-05-18 0.038580 0.114794 0.301436 0.759989 1.802066 3.957934 8.577871
2025-05-25 0.032859 0.102232 0.278395 0.724953 1.767991 3.977384 8.813302
2025-06-01 0.031071 0.100161 0.280716 0.749829 1.869388 4.285030 9.660326
2025-06-08 0.026949 0.090642 0.262890 0.723708 1.851805 4.339336 9.982864
2025-06-15 0.025230 0.087899 0.262234 0.739982 1.934119 4.614336 10.791525
2025-06-22 0.023523 0.084879 0.260419 0.753058 2.009950 4.880585 11.599599